Posts Tagged Ndamukong Suh

I Make the Call–Week 6 (Late Edition)

(Writer’s Note: I lost this file while writing these. The scores and confidences are based on my picks for my Pick’em game. They have not been changed to make these numbers look better. Every week has been based on those numbers)

Ok, after a 9-4 week, it is really time to get serious about this. Another week with only 13 games. I know I can do better. I keep telling myself that. One of these days, I might actually live up to expectations. This edition is also 99.9% Tim Tebow free.

If I only picked afternoon, Sunday night, and Monday night games, I’d be perfect. One of these days, I’ll figure out what’s going on east of here; maybe even this week.

Here we go:

Carolina vs. Atlanta: Atlanta got off to a red hot start against Green Bay last week. Before Aaron Rodgers hit the field, he was down 14-0. He proceeded to shred the Falcon defense for the next 25 points. Now, they get another red hot, hungry quarterback with a lot of weapons in Cam Newton and the Panthers. Scoring might be a little easier for Matt Ryan, but after what Rodgers did, the same will be said for Newton. This is my upset special. Carolina comes out with the win in a high scoring game, 34-27. Confidence: 2

Indianapolis vs. Cincinnati: Indianapolis QB Curtis Painter was lights out in the first half of their game against KC last week. Sadly, the NFL is played in 2 halves and that didn’t quite carry over after the break. He only threw for 40 yards and no TDs as the Chiefs rallied for the win. Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe connected for two scores. Similarly, Andy Dalton brought the Bengals down from 20-16 in the 4th quarter for the win. He has continued to connect with AJ Green. Given the holes that appeared in the Indy defense in the 2nd half, I think they have issues containing Green and Cedric Benson has his legs under him. Cinci wins 27-20. Confidence: 5

San Francisco vs. Detroit: May god have mercy on the soul of Alex Smith. Yes, San Fran has a better offensive line than the offensively challenged Bears, but when you’re facing Nick Fairley, Ndamukong Suh, and Kyle Vanden Bosch coming full tilt at you, your life is still destined to flash before your eyes. Smith has been good delivering the ball to his receivers and handing it off to Frank Gore. This week, he will not have the luxury of time to make the reads he’s been able to make easily so far this season. Matt Stafford is playing like the QB everyone believed he was when drafted now that he’s healthy and Calvin Johnson is playing up to the Megatron title he’s been given. Not even close, Detroit 28-13. Confidence: 7

St Louis vs. Green Bay: St Louis is coming off its bye. Before, they were stifled by the Redskins D in suffering their 4th straight loss and an 0-4 record. On the flip side, nothing is going wrong for the World Champs. They come into this game at 5-0, Aaron Rodgers has already had a 400 yard passing game and has 14 TDs to his credit. Last week, after finding himself down quickly 14-0 against the Falcons, he didn’t panic, but instead showed just how focused and in control he is in reeling off the next 25 points in the game. St Louis will have to wait to get its first win cuz it ain’t happening at Lambeau. Pack 40-21. Confidence: 13

Buffalo vs. NY Giants: Buffalo is cruising after wins against New England, the comeback of the year against the Raiders, and last week against Philadelphia. They’re putting up huge numbers statistically (138 yards rushing, 4th best in the NFL) and on the scoreboard. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been lights out. The defense is making other QBs pay. They intercepted Mike Vick 4 times and have 12 picks on the season. The Giants have their injury woes and it isn’t helping their defense. They are allowing 159 yards rushing per game over their last three games. The Giants are also coming off a game they gave away to the Seattle Seahawks. Eli Manning was picked three times in that game and tackling was a joke. Buffalo continues on its winning ways taking this game 26-16. Confidence: 1

Jacksonville vs. Pittsburgh:  Jack Del Rio’s seat is set to deep fry at this point and the Steelers won’t do much to cool it down. Last week, everything went right for Pittsburgh, who were looking for that one game where both defense and offense flowed like it did to the Super Bowl last year in their 38-17 clocking of a really good Tennessee team. Jacksonville is again turning to rookie QB Blaine Gabbert to run the offense. He played well last week in hanging close with Cincinnati before the Bengals pulled away late for the win. He will have his hands full with the Steelers D looking to make up for its slow start this season. Steelers again prove they’re back 34-14. Confidence: 8

Philadelphia vs. Washington: Mike Shanahan has completely turned the Redskins from the circus that they were last season and into a legit playoff football team this season. They aren’t making mistakes that give away football games. The defense is making life difficult for opposing QBs with 15 sacks in their four games this season. Mike Vick will again likely be running for his life. The Philly D will be looking to come to life against Rex Grossman, who while not posting impressive stats, is doing just enough to win games. Vick is playing behind a line that has had Vick staring at the sky more than at his receivers this season. Don’t see anything different here. Washington is consistent and Philly has too many issues to fix. Washington wins 20-16. Confidence: 6

Cleveland vs. Oakland: The Raiders are coming off what is arguably the most emotional win in the history of their franchise by beating Houston the day after the passing of legendary owner Al Davis. After intercepting Matt Schaub as the final second ticked off the clock, the emotion was apparent. What was later noted, was the fact that Oakland made that last play with only 10 men on the field, which may explain the rather large hole that Schaub missed where he could have walked into the end zone had he wanted to. They are playing with heart, with effort, with passion, and have that running game playing well this season, even if McFadden having the worst game of his season last Sunday. Emotion may have played a part. He will be able to more than make up for it against a Browns team that, while playing well, is dealing with the distraction of running back Peyton Hillis and his “strep throat”. Guys are playing with broken ribs, sprained ankles, and all kind of bumps, bruises, and ailments and he missed a game cuz of a little bug. Actually, he missed it cuz he wants to get paid. Bad move, and not one that’ll help you against a team like the Raiders these days. Oakland wins 27-12, McFadden goes for 180 yards. Confidence: 10

Houston vs. Baltimore: As mentioned, Houston had to face a very focused, very emotional Raiders team last week and let it slip away as time expired. Now they must face Ray Lewis and friends on their turf. Houston will be missing Andre Johnson, but have Derrick Mason from the Jets to fill in. He is a veteran guy and hopefully will fill in well this week. Sadly, Terrell Suggs, Ray Lewis, and Ed Reed will have something to say about that. Too much defense and Houston has too many injuries to make this a win. Ravens win 26-14. Confidence: 3

Dallas vs. New England: This game really comes down to which Dallas team shows up and even more specific, which Tony Romo. If it is the one that gutted it out when he first sustained his broken ribs, the Cowboys could end the Pats’ 19 game home winning streak. They also have Rob Ryan who, the last time he faced New England as Cleveland’s D-Coordinator, held the offense to 14 points in a Browns rout. He plans to deploy the same routine this time, with better players. Except for a hiccup against Buffalo, Tom Brady has been rolling along. He’s even found a running game with BenJarvus Green-Ellis. That new wrinkle may allow Brady time to escape Ryan’s “kitchen sink”. In fact, I say it does. Pats win 31-21. Confidence: 11

New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay: Tampa, who some favored to win the NFC South, is licking its wounds after last week’s 48-3 beat down at the hands of the San Francisco 49ers. Now they host the team they’re chasing. They need to win this game if they have any hope of catching the Saints. Trouble is, Drew Brees and company are rolling. They haven’t lost since opening weekend, and even then they were play for play with the Packers. New Orleans wins 31-20. Confidence: 9

Minnesota vs. Chicago: The biggest question in this game is: Can the Bears O-Line keep Jay Cutler standing on his feet long enough to get the ball away once in a while. Minnesota did get its first win last week against Arizona, but that really isn’t a win that is going to change a season. Donovan McNabb still has issues with his delivery, and until last week, Adrian Peterson has been MIA. The Bears D will not allow Peterson to break loose as he did last week. Bears win 20-14. Confidence: 4

Miami vs. NY Jets: Let’s be honest here. This game is circus vs. circus, but for very different reasons. Miami has no QB, no real running game (Reggie who?), and it now has Brandon Marshall stating emphatically that he will get himself tossed from the game in the 2nd quarter. Is he just psyching himself up for a big match-up, or has this team completely self-destructed to the point that he’s telling the truth. Sadly, my gut says the latter. The Jets have the issue of a lineman questioning a wide receiver questioning the line’s play. It’s a valid question. His job is to catch the football. If the QB can’t stay upright long enough to deliver it, that’s on the line. For me, this is an easier problem to fix than the pile in Miami. Jets win a laugher that has the MNF guys talking about anything but the game with about 9 minutes left in the 3rd, 23-6. Confidence: 12

 

 

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